Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.317764 0.370268 0.428890 0.499231 0.581395 0.674406 0.787794
2025-01-26 0.244948 0.316857 0.406018 0.524875 0.679489 0.874259 1.138997
2025-02-02 0.207073 0.287698 0.395103 0.549033 0.764715 1.057288 1.486256
2025-02-09 0.179111 0.263713 0.383187 0.564836 0.835303 1.225153 1.833516
2025-02-16 0.155577 0.240787 0.367318 0.569769 0.887488 1.370202 2.165465
2025-02-23 0.135240 0.218797 0.348538 0.565783 0.923107 1.492164 2.476399
2025-03-02 0.116271 0.195789 0.324343 0.548652 0.933652 1.573589 2.730568
2025-03-09 0.106713 0.186565 0.320640 0.563817 0.998283 1.750177 3.167715
2025-03-16 0.096346 0.174392 0.310112 0.565280 1.038487 1.888767 3.555658
2025-03-23 0.088871 0.166229 0.305287 0.575787 1.095484 2.063216 4.032239
2025-03-30 0.079496 0.153309 0.290158 0.564959 1.110665 2.161332 4.374964
2025-04-06 0.072013 0.142983 0.278499 0.559017 1.133973 2.276934 4.766956
2025-04-13 0.066095 0.135155 0.271011 0.561017 1.174788 2.435170 5.276034
2025-04-20 0.063560 0.133845 0.276288 0.589851 1.275129 2.728896 6.119530
2025-04-27 0.061036 0.132200 0.280600 0.617071 1.375469 3.035561 7.037129
2025-05-04 0.057863 0.128741 0.280628 0.634877 1.457302 3.312440 7.927930
2025-05-11 0.053985 0.123228 0.275521 0.640436 1.511911 3.535035 8.723534
2025-05-18 0.049746 0.116367 0.266581 0.635945 1.542280 3.705208 9.416432
2025-05-25 0.044925 0.107565 0.252181 0.616642 1.534349 3.782842 9.887785
2025-06-01 0.042957 0.105307 0.252746 0.633729 1.618558 4.097014 11.020148
2025-06-08 0.040205 0.100801 0.247405 0.635378 1.663754 4.318960 11.940292
2025-06-15 0.038269 0.098094 0.246129 0.647217 1.737011 4.622928 13.132409
2025-06-22 0.035222 0.092186 0.236163 0.635016 1.744378 4.753257 13.854179